’70s Inflation Flashback

Hey Market Pilot, Let’s go back in history to look at the ’70s and when inflation was a big deal. Since we are in a similar period of inflation and QT (quantitative tightening), I thought it would be good to look back at that era and see what the charts looked like so we can … Read more

SPY Fills Gap

Hey Market Pilot, Price always comes back to the mean. The question is when, and right now we are witnessing the gap between price and the monthly 10-day simple moving average (SMA) getting filled. Outside the S&P 500 (SPY), numerous other names have done the same or better on this short squeeze frenzy. The other … Read more

Eyes On The SPY

Hey Market Pilot, The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers came out well below expectation and caused the market to rally. This continued the short squeeze the market has been in for a couple of weeks. I was looking for a slight dip to the 21-day moving average,  but since that didn’t happen, what might … Read more

Pullback Ahead Of CPI?

Hey Market Pilot, We are seeing the market slow down on its upward progress as we approach a market sensitive piece of data: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) set for release on Wednesday. I feel that regardless of what the raw number comes out as, there will be some excuse to get the market … Read more

Have Patience To Wait For A Pullback

Hey Market Pilot, The market has been grinding higher after it survived the last week of big news and earnings events. We have been able to hop on that train, but at this point, I think it is wiser to wait for the next pullback opportunity to get some fresh long positions. Join me as … Read more

Taste The Trend

Hey Market Pilot, This market is on again-off again as much as the ice cream machine at McDonald’s (MCD), a stock that is mirroring market chop. Take a look at this video where I use MCD as an example of a choppy stock that follows a variety of moving averages at different times. It might … Read more

Market Reacts Strongly on Rate Raise

Hey Market Pilot, While it might seem counterintuitive, the market moved upward strongly after the FOMC raised rates 75 basis points (BPS). The market likely considered it good news that the FOMC did not raise rates by 100 BPS. This is a narrative I have been discussing for a couple weeks now. All of this … Read more

FOMC and GDP Reports Later This Week

Hey Market Pilot, There are a few economic events in focus that will impact the rest of the week’s price action that I want you to be aware of. First, we have the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference on Wednesday afternoon. On Thursday morning, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers will be released, … Read more

Eyes On UVXY

Hey Market Pilot, The market has been working its way upward as I detailed in the last video. This movement probably won’t be a smooth ride, or a fast one like some of the other short squeeze rallies we have seen, so we need to be okay with a choppy move higher. Perhaps that is … Read more

Market Bounce In Play?

Hey Market Pilot, Despite a couple of bumpy days, the market held up after hotter Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) numbers last week. Could there be a bounce coming? Prices don’t like to stay away from moving averages for too long. Let’s look back at the weekly chart and get some … Read more