It seems to me the market is going to drift upward, but the path is unclear. And while we could look to play the bullish side, I think the bigger move will be down once the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and its daily 50-day simple moving average (SMA) … Read more

Following up from the newsletter I put out before the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, my expected direction of lower was correct. And then the short squeeze kicked in. A burner of a day for the shorts had them on the run as price rose all day long. Was … Read more

Since I recorded this a day before the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, let’s see how things unfolded from where they were before. The market looks heavy and it would make sense to keep dropping. The only thing that would get it to pop is a surprise CPI, and then … Read more

The stock market closed last week at the June lows and at a very critical spot with the pullback Friday. Can it hold for now and move to a bear flag to the upside for a while? Or will the market fall apart from here? In case the market moves … Read more

It looks like the market developed an undercut and rally with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) midweek, and that would also be defined as a “bear trap” since we closed on the lows Friday then reversed on Monday. Some indications that there could be more upside with the … Read more

Another wrinkle in the chaotic market is word of an emergency Fed meeting today on October 3rd. We don’t yet know what it is about or what the market reaction will be, but we also know the market is very oversold. The kindling is there for a short squeeze. We … Read more

So the Bank of England decided to start up its bond buying program, which is why Wednesday was a stronger day. Will this help? If so, how long? Or will this be throwing fuel on the inflation fire? Only time will tell, but we do know that the stock market … Read more

This market has been in a downward decline for weeks that started with the Jackson Hole, Wyo., Federal Reserve Symposium, negative U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raising interest rates, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking tough. The bears have been winning and basking … Read more