Now that time has passed, I want to show how the Moxie Indicator™ worked exceptionally well with Apple, Inc. (AAPL) for both the long and short direction. The moves incorporated the exact same setups and principles for each direction. Come check it out and see if the Moxie Indicator™ can help you with your trading. Let’s review the setups: The final quarter of this year is full of economic variables influencing the stock market. How do you trade this market through the end of the year? Members of my Moxie … Read more
It seems to me the market is going to drift upward, but the path is unclear. And while we could look to play the bullish side, I think the bigger move will be down once the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and its daily 50-day simple moving average (SMA) meet. Let’s review this wild action: There are many economic variables influencing the stock market this year. How do you trade this ever-changing environment? Members of my Moxie Indicator™ Mastery Program learn how to combine fast-moving signals and track movement … Read more
Following up from the newsletter I put out before the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, my expected direction of lower was correct. And then the short squeeze kicked in. A burner of a day for the shorts had them on the run as price rose all day long. Was it going to last? Was this going to be the start of a more major upside move? According to Friday price action, the big squeeze seems to be a one-day wonder. Let’s review this wild action There are many economic … Read more
Since I recorded this a day before the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, let’s see how things unfolded from where they were before. The market looks heavy and it would make sense to keep dropping. The only thing that would get it to pop is a surprise CPI, and then we don’t even know if it will sustain or be a pop-n-flop. Let’s take a look at what I’ve seen: There are many economic variables influencing the stock market this year. How do you trade this ever-changing environment? Members of … Read more
The stock market closed last week at the June lows and at a very critical spot with the pullback Friday. Can it hold for now and move to a bear flag to the upside for a while? Or will the market fall apart from here? In case the market moves to some strength, there are a few names out there showing relative strength for traders to follow. Here’s what I’m seeing after last week: There are many economic variables influencing the stock market this year. How do you trade this … Read more
It looks like the market developed an undercut and rally with the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) midweek, and that would also be defined as a “bear trap” since we closed on the lows Friday then reversed on Monday. Some indications that there could be more upside with the market comes from the Volatility Index (VIX) – the “fear” index – being in an area that it typically reverses. Plus, negative Moxie Indicator™ divergence on the hourly chart supports the idea. Let’s take a look at what to watch: … Read more
Another wrinkle in the chaotic market is word of an emergency Fed meeting today on October 3rd. We don’t yet know what it is about or what the market reaction will be, but we also know the market is very oversold. The kindling is there for a short squeeze. We could see SPY head toward the 21 exponential moving average (EMA) near $380, but we’ll have to see how far this bounce goes. We are still in a bear market, so don’t overstay your bullish welcome if it goes that … Read more
So the Bank of England decided to start up its bond buying program, which is why Wednesday was a stronger day. Will this help? If so, how long? Or will this be throwing fuel on the inflation fire? Only time will tell, but we do know that the stock market indexes were working off their oversold conditions. Let’s take a look at these conditions: There are many variables influencing the stock market. How do you trade this uncertain environment? Members of my Moxie Indicator™ Mastery Program learn how to combine … Read more
This market has been in a downward decline for weeks that started with the Jackson Hole, Wyo., Federal Reserve Symposium, negative U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raising interest rates, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell talking tough. The bears have been winning and basking in the glory. But as we all know, the pendulum swings from side to side. We are starting to see that things are getting pretty heavy on the short side and the put/call ratio is as high as it’s ever … Read more
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) followed through with plans to raise federal funds interest rates by 75 basis points, and the market didn’t like it. After a few wild moves in both directions on Wednesday after the announcement, the downside was chosen and the market ended on the lows. I think it is clear that we should expect lower prices. The question is what path will it take? Let’s take a look at the potential aftermath: The FOMC plans for fighting inflation are a big topic and monetary policy … Read more