Hey Market Pilots,I think most of us are geared and trained to trade to the long side. Meaning our eyes are most attuned to seeing bottoming and reversal patterns. We may be great at getting out at the top of a move, but perhaps we lack the ability to short when the time comes. I am not a big fan of going short anyway, so my way around this is to go long… long on an inverse ETF. An inverse EFT is a ticker that mimics another ETF but the … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, This Market has been amazing when moving up, and disastrous when pulling back. Great positions and tickers will suddenly implode on you and go negative in your account if you aren’t proactive about profits and exits. Just ask me how I know. But there are a few key metrics that I have picked up and now rely on in this Fed fueled market to help protect me and keep my account ratcheting up. Because of those tools, my spidey senses are tingling and we should be trading … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, This write up is about how you may have to strike more than once to get the right entry and then how it became one of the my most picture perfect setups of July. Back on June 22nd, SPCE broke news of them getting some contract from NASA and its volume went from about 10 million shares to 53 million shares. Something serious was up so I notified the Moxie subscribers about going in. The idea was to catch an explosive momentum move. Well, that didn’t happen. … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, This week began quite nicely with the market opening with a gap up on Monday the 13th. However, that elation and satisfaction was short-lived and brutally squashed by a massive liquidation break in the middle of the day. Few were spared but tech got hit the hardest. Let me show you a few insights which kept me from panicking or going short. First, on the day of the liquidation break, the internals were not supporting the move. With such a huge move in the market, you would … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, On June 30th I wrote a piece about the SPY coming into the Daily 50 SMA and how we know when the bounce would be confirmed. I described how price can sometimes bounce exactly off a moving average or push a little past it before moving up. For my style of trading, I look at the lower time frames to see how that bounce is going to develop. In the previous article I specified what I wanted to see from the charts in order to confirm the … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, New traders often ask me how much money do they need to have to be able to trade. My first answer is “none” because I suggest they paper trade before using real money. If for no other reason than to learn how to use the platform and avoid pushing the wrong button. I speak from experience because when I was in college, I was guilty of pushing the wrong button which cost me more than I would like to admit. The other reason to start with paper … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, Last week we had an exact double bottom bounce, which also coincided with a bounce off the Daily 50 SMA. This made for a very strong 4-day run into the 4th of July holiday, giving us traders fireworks of our own. The setup was also boosted by good economic numbers that came out Thursday morning, but the charts said price was too extended and therefore faded towards the end of the day. Now, where do we go? My expected behavior of the market after a bullish holiday … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, Happy (almost) 4th of July! This holiday is all about America’s independence as its own country, making decisions for the promise of a better future. Sound familiar? It should. Most traders around the globe are attracted to the markets for the same reason: independence. More to the point, we want to be self-sufficient and provide for our own in a way that we determine is best. But this is easier said than done. In search for independence, each trader has his own journey with ups and downs. … Read more
The drop right after the June 10th FOMC meeting was fairly obvious for me to see and Moxie subscribers were able to take advantage. We took off most long positions and then went long UVXY for some insurance which turned out to pay handsomely. The market is now testing that low again, but this time the Daily 50 SMA is involved. What does this mean and where do we go from here? Typical price action would suggest that the SPY should bounce off its Daily 50 SMA since the moving … Read more
Hey Market Pilots, How is a new trader supposed to learn to trade other than looking at historical charts or experiencing it live, one day at a time? In the old days, these were the only two options and while studying historical charts has been the most common, I believe it presents some gaps when it comes to how we as humans learn. Learning how to trade in real-time has its own issues. Mainly being too slow as you have to let each day or minute go by in order … Read more